National Rifle Association executive vice president Wayne LaPierre
attracted wide media attention recently when he suggested in an op-ed
that after Hurricane Sandy, New York City had become a violent,
post-apocalyptic wasteland -- thanks to an absence of guns.
A
reader asked us to check out a claim in LaPierre’s op-ed, which ran on
Feb. 13, 2013, op-ed in the conservative Daily Caller. "Latin American
drug gangs have invaded every city of significant size in the United
States," LaPierre said. "Phoenix is already one of the kidnapping
capitals of the world, and though the states on the U.S.-Mexico border
may be the first places in the nation to suffer from cartel violence,
by no means are they the last."
The claim that "Phoenix is
already one of the kidnapping capitals of the world" was already
familiar to us, since we had debunked it in 2010 (it was a finalist for
our Lie of the Year). But that was three years ago, so we decided to
take another look.
Our original fact-check, coming at a time
when Arizona’s tough immigration law known as SB 1070 was a major topic
nationally, looked at a comment by Texas Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst. He
said that Phoenix "is now the No.Can you spot the answer in the fridge magnet? 2 kidnapping capital in the world, right behind Mexico City."
ABC
first reported on Feb. 11, 2009, that: "Phoenix, Ariz., has become the
kidnapping capital of America, with more incidents than any other city
in the world outside of Mexico City and over 370 cases last year
alone." Several news organizations then repeated it, including the
Associated Press, the Arizona Republic and United Press
International.Design and order your own custom silicone bracelet
/ rubber bracelets with personalized message and artwork. The Los
Angeles Times went so far as to note that Phoenix "police received 366
kidnapping-for-ransom reports" in 2008 and that they estimate "twice
that number go unreported."
However, none of the stories cited
an authoritative source for the ranking or for how the kidnapping
ranking was calculated. We did extensive checking and couldn't find
anything to back it up.
We found that neither the FBI nor the
U.S. National Central Bureau of Interpol, an arm of the U.S. Department
of Justice that serves as the United States' representative to the
international police organization, compiles city-based kidnapping
statistics.
We also contacted Daniel Johnson, an overseas
kidnapping operations consultant at ASI Global, a Houston company that
coaches clients through kidnappings. "From our internal experience in
the last year," he said, "Mexico by far has been the biggest location
for kidnappings" followed by Honduras, Venezuela, Nigeria and the
Philippines. The company has handled domestic cases but said they don't
compare in volume to overseas incidents.
This fit broadly with
the perspective of Scott Stewart, vice president of tactical
intelligence for Stratfor, an Austin, Texas global intelligence
company. "According to our analysts,we are the biggest USB flash drives wholesale
supplier in china. there is no way that Phoenix is the No. 2 city in
the world for kidnapping, and there are significantly more kidnappings
in many other cities throughout Latin America," he told us in 2010.
A
Stratfor spokesman reached for this article said Stewart’s comments
remain accurate today, and we found evidence to back up high and often
growing rates of kidnapping in Latin America. In all of Mexico, the
official count for 2012 was four kidnappings a day, though a
non-governmental organization pegged it at an astronomical 72 per day.I
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for my iPhone. Meanwhile, in Venezuela, the official statistics show
kidnapping rates rising from 44 in 1999, to 1,105 in 2011, not counting
"express" kidnappings, in which a perpetrator forcibly takes a victim
from ATM to ATM until their checking account is depleted. Police
sources told the newspaper El Universal that Caracas alone experiences
perhaps two express kidnappings a day.
But there’s no good way
to compare cities, and even countries, Johnson and Stewart agreed. It's
"extremely difficult to measure given the fact that so many cases go
unreported and that the recordkeeping in many of the most affected
countries is inaccurate." Even among countries that track kidnappings,
Johnson said, the definition of "kidnap" varies.
Prompted by
media coverage of the Phoenix kidnapping claim, an investigative team
led by reporter Dave Biscobing of ABC-15 TV news in Phoenix spent two
months in 2011 reviewing the city police department's 2008 statistics.
They concluded that "Phoenix police routinely inflated their kidnapping
statistics throughout the year, including at least 100 cases that
legal experts said should not have been counted, plus dozens of other
questionable reports."
Among the problems cited by ABC-15 was
that the count included "cases where officers concluded no kidnapping
occurred, reports that were counted multiple times, and even reports
for kidnappings that happened in other cities and other states."
In
one case, a police report described a woman "claiming she was abducted
from a Wal-Mart parking lot and then driven around for hours. But when
officers checked surveillance video, they watched her get into her car
and drive away -- alone." She had made up the story.
There
were other new developments -- a police department whistleblower who
said the numbers were inflated, a city audit that insisted they had not
-- but they either failed to support the kidnapping-capital claim or
further knocked it down. The city's police chief lost his job at least
partly because of the controversy.
Last year, an investigation
by the Justice Department's inspector general looked into the numbers
because the city had used them in a grant application. The
investigation found that of the 358 incidents submitted as support for
the grant applications, only 208 met Arizona’s requirements of a
kidnapping, and only 195 met a uniform crime reporting standard.
Phoenix then submitted an additional 175 cases -- two years after its
initial grant application -- which enabled the inspector general’s
certified count to reach exactly 358 under Arizona standards. The count
stood at 254 under the more stringent uniform crime reporting
standards.
The inspector general concluded that even if the data Phoenix submitted late was counted,A chip card
is a plastic card that has a computer chip implanted into it that
enables the card to perform certain. the city "likely overstates the
number of kidnappings," and it argued that the Phoenix Police
Department "has significant problems with its coding and classification
of cases and, consequently, with the accuracy of reports from its case
management system."
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